R32 · Match 84FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT3 – 0
Austria
Manager: Ralf Rangnick
36' M. Oyarzabal66' P. Porro89' M. Oyarzabal
Los Angeles Stadium · Thursday, 2 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
G. Nyberg
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.88
Estimate
2.24
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+15.4%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.16
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-21.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
3.25
Estimate
2.64
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-36.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.46
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+21.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d agoPinnacleas of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
6.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
-48.4%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.19
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
+11.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.92
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+7.0%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.10
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-15.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Spain +0
No Difference
4.40
Estimate
3.42
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Austria +0
No Difference
1.31
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 2 Jul 19:15older price · 127d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
6.0017%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
15.007%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Spain 0 / Austria 1
State
FULL-TIME
83'Yellow card
Stefan Posch
Foul
Austria
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SpainAustria
1.0
Team cards / g
2.0
1.5
Match cards / g
4.1
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q0%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q38%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q25%
Q17%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q50%
Q17%
Both teams carded
Q88%
Overall
Spain
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Austria
38%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
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