Group · Match 26FIFA World Cup 2026
Switzerland
Manager: Murat Yakin
FT4 – 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager: Sergej Barbarez
74' J. Manzambi84' R. Vargas90' J. Manzambi90+7' G. Xhaka (P)
90+3' E. Mahmic
Los Angeles Stadium · Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Switzerland won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate3.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-42.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
+28.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 2 Jun 12:10older price · 157d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.94vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF +3.3%
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
3/7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
6/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
-7.3%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.65
Pinnacle
3.35
Marathonbet
-1.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.22vs book · Pinnacle1.30STATS DIFF +6.1%
Switzerland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
6/7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
7/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-6.5%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF 0.0%
Switzerland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
3/7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
5/9
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
3.32
Pinnacle
3.16
Marathonbet
-22.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference1.32
Estimate
1.35
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+0.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.16vs book · Pinnacle3.32STATS DIFF +5.1%
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 7
2/7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
3/9
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 28, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Switzerland
7 games · 1 goalless
30'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 games · 0 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Switzerland to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.9% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathonbet
+0.9%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate8.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.35
Marathonbet
-33.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d ago
Market
Bosnia and Herzegovina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate3.10
Estimate
1.79
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
-43.7%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.49
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
+41.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 18 Jun 18:31older price · 141d agoPinnacleas of 18 Jun 09:31older price · 142d ago
Group BView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 7 | |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8-3 | +5 | 4 | |
| 3 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | -8 | 1 |
Other Group B matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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