Group · Match 51FIFA World Cup 2026
Switzerland
Manager: Murat Yakin
FT2 – 1
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
46' R. Vargas57' J. Manzambi
76' P. David
Vancouver Stadium · Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Switzerland won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.06
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-4.5%
Below Est.
No
No Difference1.96
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-0.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Bet3651.90STATS DIFF -36.7%
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.5% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference1.41
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
+1.5%
Below Bar
Under 1.5
Below Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.07
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
-16.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book · Marathonbet1.39STATS DIFF +15.8%
Switzerland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
7/8
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference2.20
Estimate
2.30
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+2.8%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-7.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.30STATS DIFF +15.0%
Switzerland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
4/8
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
3.52
Pinnacle
3.84
Marathonbet
-6.3%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
-4.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Marathonbet3.84STATS DIFF +27.9%
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 32, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Switzerland
8 games · 1 goalless
36'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Canada
2 games · 0 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Switzerland to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.29
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
+8.0%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate4.60
Estimate
3.82
Pinnacle
3.20
Marathonbet
-28.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:30older price · 136d ago
Market
Canada to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +5.0% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.60
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
-6.5%
Below Est.
No
No Difference2.70
Estimate
3.02
Pinnacle
2.75
Marathonbet
+5.0%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 24 Jun 19:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:30older price · 136d ago
Group BView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-3 | +4 | 7 | — |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8-3 | +5 | 4 | — |
| 3 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | -1 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | -8 | 1 | — |
Other Group B matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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