Group · Match 59FIFA World Cup 2026
Türkiye
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
FT3 – 2
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
10' A. Güler31' B. Yılmaz90+8' K. Ayhan
3' A. Trusty49' S. Berhalter
Los Angeles Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Türkiye won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-26.1%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.82
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+24.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Bet3651.61STATS DIFF -19.5%
Türkiye
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.41
Estimate
1.24
Pinnacle
1.13
Marathonbet
-17.5%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate3.50
Estimate
3.78
Pinnacle
4.75
Marathonbet
+39.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.33vs book · Pinnacle1.24STATS DIFF -7.0%
Türkiye
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-26.6%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
2.41
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
+32.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.60vs book · Pinnacle1.60STATS DIFF 0.0%
Türkiye
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
2.52
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
-41.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.56
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
+14.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.60vs book · Pinnacle2.52STATS DIFF +57.5%
Türkiye
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 17, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Türkiye
10 games · 0 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
United States
2 games · 0 goalless
9'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Türkiye to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.23
Estimate
1.38
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
+10.9%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate5.50
Estimate
3.02
Pinnacle
3.10
Marathonbet
-42.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:31older price · 134d ago
Market
United States to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.82
Estimate
1.20
Pinnacle
1.10
Marathonbet
-37.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.22
Estimate
4.45
Pinnacle
5.90
Marathonbet
+173.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 25 Jun 23:15older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 09:31older price · 134d ago
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | — |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | — |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | — |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 | — |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.