Group · Match 32FIFA World Cup 2026
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
FT2 – 0
Australia
Manager: Tony Popovic
11' C. Burgess (OG)43' A. Freeman
Seattle Stadium · Friday, 19 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · United States won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.14
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-6.3%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate1.89
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-1.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.19vs book · Bet3651.95STATS DIFF -39.0%
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Australia
31% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate1.40
Estimate
1.32
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
-7.4%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference3.60
Estimate
3.49
Pinnacle
3.58
Marathonbet
+2.3%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.45vs book · Pinnacle1.32STATS DIFF -9.2%
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Australia
69% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.20
Estimate
2.01
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-11.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.28vs book · Pinnacle2.01STATS DIFF -12.0%
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Australia
44% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
3.48
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
-19.5%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference1.32
Estimate
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+0.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.67vs book · Pinnacle3.48STATS DIFF +30.5%
United States: no qualifying campaign data
Australia
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 28, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
United States
1 games · 0 goalless
7'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Australia
10 games · 2 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
United States to Score
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
-5.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate5.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.50
Marathonbet
+7.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d ago
Market
Australia to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.75
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
-2.9%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate2.34
Estimate
2.26
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
-1.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jun 19:15older price · 140d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jun 09:31older price · 140d ago
Group DView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | -2 | 3 |
Other Group D matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.