R16 · Match 94FIFA World Cup 2026
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
FT1 – 4
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
31' M. Tillman
9' C. Ketelaere33' C. Ketelaere57' H. Vanaken90+3' R. Lukaku
Seattle Stadium · Tuesday, 7 July 2026 · 01:00 · FT · Belgium won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
A. Makhadmeh
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.32
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
+22.7%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate4.20
Estimate
2.28
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-45.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.77
Estimate
2.36
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+22.1%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.32
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-26.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d agoPinnacleas of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate2.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
+27.9%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.26
Unibet
-18.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-10.3%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
+5.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
United States +0
No Difference1.17
Estimate
2.03
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Belgium +0
No Difference7.20
Estimate
1.80
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 6 Jul 23:30older price · 123d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
5.5018%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
19.005%Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · United States 2 / Belgium 0
State
FULL-TIME
35'Yellow cardUnited States
Weston McKennie
Foul
69'Yellow cardUnited States
Malik Tillman
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
United StatesBelgium
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team cards Over 1.5Q25%
Q—Team cards Over 2.5Q25%
Q—Match cards Over 3.5Q50%
Q—Both teams cardedQ63%
Overall
United States
No card data on file
Belgium
25%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.