R32 · Match 81FIFA World Cup 2026
United States
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino Trossero
FT2 – 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager: Sergej Barbarez
45' F. Balogun82' M. Tillman
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium · Thursday, 2 July 2026 · 01:00 · FT · United States won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
R. Claus
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.08
Estimate
1.90
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+63.8%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
14.00
Estimate
1.92
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-85.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
1.21
Estimate
2.50
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+86.4%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
5.90
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-72.2%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d agoPinnacleas of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate
1.46
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.95
Unibet
+107.7%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate
3.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.34
Unibet
-57.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
United States +0
No Difference
1.86
Estimate
3.56
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Bosnia and Herzegovina +0
No Difference
2.18
Estimate
1.29
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 1 Jul 23:30older price · 128d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
9.5011%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
23.004%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · United States 1 / Bosnia and Herzegovina 2
State
FULL-TIME
64'Red card
Folarin Balogun
Foul
United States
80'Yellow card
Stjepan Radeljic
Foul
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80'Yellow card
Sergej Barbarez
Argument
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
United StatesBosnia and Herzegovina
—
Team cards / g
2.8
—
Match cards / g
5.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—
Team cards Over 1.5
Q90%
Q—
Team cards Over 2.5
Q50%
Q—
Match cards Over 3.5
Q80%
Q—
Both teams carded
Q100%
Overall
United States
No card data on file
Bosnia and Herzegovina
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
80%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices