Group · Match 24FIFA World Cup 2026
Uzbekistan
Manager: Fabio Cannavaro
FT1 – 3
Colombia
Manager: Néstor Gabriel Lorenzo
60' A. Fayzullaev
40' D. Muñoz65' L. Díaz90+9' J. Campaz
Mexico City Stadium · Thursday, 18 June 2026 · 03:00 · FT · Colombia won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-22.8%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.56
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+5.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.29vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -8.1%
38
Uzbekistan
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
50
Colombia
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
-8.0%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
No Difference
3.50
Estimate
3.59
Pinnacle
3.42
Marathonbet
+0.6%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.70vs book · Pinnacle1.31STATS DIFF -23.1%
56
Uzbekistan
56% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
61
Colombia
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.20
Estimate
1.96
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-11.2%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.94
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+6.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle1.96STATS DIFF -2.0%
50
Uzbekistan
50% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
50
Colombia
50% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
4.20
Estimate
3.35
Pinnacle
3.16
Marathonbet
-22.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.32
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
+0.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.06vs book · Pinnacle3.35STATS DIFF +9.4%
38
Uzbekistan
38% overall · qualifying campaign
16 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
28
Colombia
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 27, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Uzbekistan
10 games · 2 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Colombia
10 games · 1 goalless
22'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Uzbekistan to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.6% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.42
Estimate
2.09
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
-15.0%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
1.72
Estimate
1.76
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
+3.6%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d agoPinnacleas of 17 Jun 09:31older price · 142d ago
Market

Colombia to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.17
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
-6.1%
Below Est.
No
Below Estimate
7.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.65
Marathonbet
-5.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 17 Jun 22:30older price · 142d ago
Group KView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Colombia
32104-1+37
2
Portugal
31206-1+55
3
Congo DR
31114-3+14
4
Uzbekistan
30032-11-90
Other Group K matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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