PRIMERA DIVISION
La Serena
DWWLL
- Marín 14'
- Marín 37'
- Vargas (pen) 84'
FT3 – 1
Concepcion
DWLDD
- Henríquez 21'
- Rodríguez 41'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 16:30
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.3
La Serena · for
at home, per game
10.6
Total corners · projected
5.3
Concepcion · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair8.56
LOST6 to 8
Price3.10
Fair4.03
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.18
LOST12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.39
WONOver 14
Price10.00
Fair10.76
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
La Serena 0
2.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Concepcion 0
2.02
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
La SerenaConcepcion
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2057%Over 3.5 cornersL2058%
L2036%Over 4.5 cornersL2035%
L2020%Over 5.5 cornersL2027%
L2059%Over 9.5 totalL2042%
L2052%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2026%Match corners W%L2033%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%Under 613%
24%6 to 842%
33%9 to 1125%
28%12 to 1417%
7%Over 144%
La Serena · 54 matchesConcepcion · 24 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.4 · LA SERENA
La Serena · home
-0.4
net per game
Concepcion · away
-2.4
net per game
Market
La Serena Corners Over / Under 4.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Concepcion Corners Over / Under 4.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.65
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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