SBI
SERIE A
Napoli
DWLLW
  • Anguissa 28'
  • McTominay 48'
  • McTominay 83'
  • Unknown 90+1'
FT3 – 3
Roma
DDLWW
  • Soulé 69'
  • Balerdi 74'
  • Balerdi 89'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 17:00 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.7
Napoli · for
at home, per game
10.2
Total corners · projected
μ 10.15
4.5
Roma · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price6.50
Fair5.59
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.62
Fair3.19
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair3.35
LOST
12 to 14
Price5.50
Fair5.59
WON
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair33.86
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.47
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.79
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Napoli 0
1.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.69
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Roma 0
2.94
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.14
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
NapoliRoma
5.4
Corners for · per game
5.0
3.6
Corners against · per game
3.8
Hit rates · over markets
L2070%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2058%
Over 4.5 corners
L2053%
L2045%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2042%
Over 9.5 total
L2038%
L2031%
Over 10.5 total
L2030%
L2063%
Match corners W%
L2052%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%
Under 6
21%
40%
6 to 8
29%
28%
9 to 11
29%
15%
12 to 14
19%
3%
Over 14
2%
Napoli · 40 matchesRoma · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.9 · NAPOLI
Napoli · home
+2.9
net per game
For
6.1
Against
3.2
Roma · away
+0.3
net per game
For
4.5
Against
4.2
Market

Napoli Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.51
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
3.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Roma Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
2.14
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
1.88
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.