SBI
LIGA MX
Toluca
WLDLD
  • Viñas 61'
  • Helinho 65'
FT2 – 2
Tijuana
LDLDD
  • Manoel 38'
  • Unknown 65'
  • Padilla 75'
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · 02:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.3
Toluca · for
at home, per game
10.5
Total corners · projected
μ 10.54
4.3
Tijuana · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair13.06
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair2.78
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.38
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair5.95
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair10.00
WON
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.65
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.56
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.26
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
TolucaTijuana
5.4
Corners for · per game
4.0
4.3
Corners against · per game
5.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%
Over 3.5 corners
L2045%
L2062%
Over 4.5 corners
L2034%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2023%
L2052%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2036%
Over 10.5 total
L2036%
L2064%
Match corners W%
L2026%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
2%
Under 6
13%
32%
6 to 8
39%
39%
9 to 11
26%
18%
12 to 14
11%
9%
Over 14
11%
Toluca · 44 matchesTijuana · 38 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · TOLUCA
Toluca · home
+1.8
net per game
For
5.6
Against
3.7
Tijuana · away
-3.2
net per game
For
3.2
Against
6.4
Market

Toluca Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
2.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
1.78
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Tijuana Corners Over / Under 2.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 2.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 2.5
5.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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