SBI
J1 LEAGUE
V-Varen Nagasaki
LWDDL
  • Onaga 36'
  • Jesus 45'
  • Yasuda 73'
  • Yasuda 90+7'
FT4 – 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
LWWWW
  • Haller 66'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 11:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.1
V-Varen Nagasaki · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.39
6.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair9.93
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair4.43
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair2.90
WON
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.49
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair9.46
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.25
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.56
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.43
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.81
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.35
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.99
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
V-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce Hiroshima
3.9
Corners for · per game
6.6
5.2
Corners against · per game
3.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2060%
Over 3.5 corners
L2079%
L2046%
Over 4.5 corners
L2075%
L2023%
Over 5.5 corners
L2064%
L2062%
Over 9.5 total
L2056%
L2031%
Over 10.5 total
L2043%
L2040%
Match corners W%
L2074%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
13%
30%
6 to 8
24%
50%
9 to 11
30%
10%
12 to 14
24%
0%
Over 14
9%
V-Varen Nagasaki · 10 matchesSanfrecce Hiroshima · 70 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.2 · SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA
V-Varen Nagasaki · home
+0.0
net per game
For
4.9
Against
4.9
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · away
+3.2
net per game
For
6.8
Against
3.7
Market

V-Varen Nagasaki Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
2.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
1.78
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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