SBI
J1 LEAGUE
Fagiano Okayama
WWLLL
  • Esaka 52'
  • Esaka 65'
FT2 – 0
Mito Hollyhock
DLLLL
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 11:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.9
Fagiano Okayama · for
at home, per game
10.3
Total corners · projected
μ 10.30
5.4
Mito Hollyhock · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price8.00
Fair16.09
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.75
Fair3.11
WON
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.85
LOST
12 to 14
Price5.00
Fair8.41
LOST
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair6.81
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.43
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.35
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.39
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.73
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
5.3
Corners for · per game
3.8
5.0
Corners against · per game
4.8
Hit rates · over markets
L2077%
Over 3.5 corners
L2050%
L2071%
Over 4.5 corners
L2046%
L2047%
Over 5.5 corners
L2023%
L2059%
Over 9.5 total
L2023%
L2045%
Over 10.5 total
L2023%
L2054%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
4%
Under 6
10%
23%
6 to 8
60%
44%
9 to 11
10%
15%
12 to 14
10%
15%
Over 14
10%
Fagiano Okayama · 48 matchesMito Hollyhock · 10 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.2 · MITO HOLLYHOCK
Fagiano Okayama · home
+0.9
net per game
For
5.5
Against
4.6
Mito Hollyhock · away
+1.2
net per game
For
4.3
Against
3.2
Market

Fagiano Okayama Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
2.76
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
1.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Mito Hollyhock Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 2–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.27
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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