SBI
J1 LEAGUE
Nagoya Grampus
LLLWW
  • Nakayama 3'
FT1 – 1
Cerezo Osaka
DLDDL
  • Sabbag 62'
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · 11:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.4
Nagoya Grampus · for
at home, per game
11.1
Total corners · projected
μ 11.15
5.7
Cerezo Osaka · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair12.93
WON
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair3.41
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair2.87
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair5.23
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair11.10
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.49
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Nagoya Grampus 0
2.18
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.59
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Cerezo Osaka 0
1.86
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.21
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Nagoya GrampusCerezo Osaka
4.4
Corners for · per game
5.4
5.1
Corners against · per game
5.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2061%
Over 3.5 corners
L2073%
L2040%
Over 4.5 corners
L2061%
L2034%
Over 5.5 corners
L2042%
L2045%
Over 9.5 total
L2060%
L2031%
Over 10.5 total
L2052%
L2041%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
5%
34%
6 to 8
20%
34%
9 to 11
33%
15%
12 to 14
28%
7%
Over 14
15%
Nagoya Grampus · 41 matchesCerezo Osaka · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.6 · NAGOYA GRAMPUS
Nagoya Grampus · home
-0.6
net per game
For
4.4
Against
5.0
Cerezo Osaka · away
-0.7
net per game
For
4.4
Against
5.0
Market

Nagoya Grampus Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.59
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Cerezo Osaka Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.49
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
3.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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