SBI
SUPER LEAGUE
Thun
LWLLL
  • Zoukit 37'
  • Braschi (pen) 88'
FT2 – 3
Lugano
WWWWW
  • Moncada 34'
  • Bislimi 49'
  • Ajeti 76'
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 13:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.3
Thun · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.35
5.1
Lugano · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair12.36
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair3.38
WON
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.43
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.43
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair9.40
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.69
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
2.16
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Thun 0
1.54
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.06
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Lugano 0
2.90
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.69
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
ThunLugano
5.5
Corners for · per game
4.7
4.8
Corners against · per game
4.7
Hit rates · over markets
L2079%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2064%
Over 4.5 corners
L2047%
L2050%
Over 5.5 corners
L2035%
L2057%
Over 9.5 total
L2047%
L2043%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2069%
Match corners W%
L2045%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%
Under 6
5%
21%
6 to 8
48%
33%
9 to 11
23%
26%
12 to 14
15%
12%
Over 14
10%
Thun · 42 matchesLugano · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.3 · THUN
Thun · home
+2.3
net per game
For
6.4
Against
4.1
Lugano · away
-0.8
net per game
For
4.3
Against
5.0
Market

Thun Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
4.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Lugano Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.75
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.36
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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