PREMIER LEAGUE

Aston Villa

LLLDW

Alysson 74'

FT1 – 2

Nottingham Forest

DLLDD

Delap 46'
Jesus 88'

Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 15:00 · Villa Park

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

1.7

Team cards · per game

1.7

3.7

Total match cards · per game

3.7

Season cards · league hub

Matches played this season: Aston Villa 9 matches; Nottingham Forest 9 matches

2.22Cards for per game2.22

3.22Cards against per game1.56

Hit rates · home v away

L2048%

Cards match bet W%

L2048%

L2071%

Both teams carded

L2067%

L2052%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2050%

L2050%

Over 3.5 total cards

L2052%

Team cards by line · home at home v away away

L2068%

Over 0.5 team cards

L2080%

L2032%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2060%

L2016%

Over 2.5 team cards

L2025%

L200%

Over 3.5 team cards

L2020%

Team cards by line · overall

L2079%

Over 0.5 team cards

L2081%

L2052%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2050%

L2029%

Over 2.5 team cards

L2017%

L207%

Over 3.5 team cards

L2014%

A. Madley

Premier League · 30 matches in the last 12 months

30

Apps

108

Yellows

3.60

Yellows / game

6

Reds

Cards per game

Cards per game30 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds3.80

Yellows per game30 matches in the last 12 months3.60

Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.

Referee extras · this league season

Fouls per game5 matches23.80

Penalties awarded0 in 5 matches · 0.00 a game0

Team cards

Home cards30 matches, last 12 months1.77 avg

Away cards30 matches, last 12 months2.03 avg

Both teams23/3077%

Over / under cards

Ref—+0.5no data

Ref97%+1.529/30 matches

Ref73%+2.522/30 matches

Ref47%+3.514/30 matches

Line check

Line vs referee and teams

Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.

Referee: A. Madley, 30 matches in the last 12 months
Teams, matches played this season: Aston Villa 9 matches; Nottingham Forest 9 matches

A. Madley averages 3.80 cards a game over 30 matches in the last 12 months, 0.3 above a 3.5 line.

In those matches A. Madley has shown the home side 1.77 cards a game and the away side 2.03 (30 matches).

Aston Villa cards for 2.22 a game, Nottingham Forest 2.22, together 4.44 against a 3.5 line.

Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Aston Villa 1.89 and Nottingham Forest 2.72, together 4.61 against a 3.5 line.

The added-together figure is 0.9 above the 3.5 line; the blend is 1.1 above it.

Cards for at the venues: Aston Villa at home 2.40 (5 matches), Nottingham Forest away 2.60 (5 matches), together 5.00.

bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.80 · Under 1.90

referee 3.80 is 0.3 above; teams added together 4.44 is 0.9 above; blend 4.61 is 1.1 above

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 2.5Over 1.30 · Under 3.39

referee 3.80 is 1.3 above; teams added together 4.44 is 1.9 above; blend 4.61 is 2.1 above

Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.42 · Under 2.83

referee 3.80 is 0.8 above; teams added together 4.44 is 1.4 above; blend 4.61 is 1.6 above

Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.76 · Under 2.09

referee 3.80 is 0.3 above; teams added together 4.44 is 0.9 above; blend 4.61 is 1.1 above

Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 4Over 2.18 · Under 1.67

referee 3.80 is 0.2 below; teams added together 4.44 is 0.4 above; blend 4.61 is 0.6 above

Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.66 · Under 1.45

referee 3.80 is 0.7 below; teams added together 4.44 is 0.1 below; blend 4.61 is 0.1 above

Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Total cardsvia match book

Source56%Venueover 3.5 hit rate

Source51%Overallover 3.5 hit rate

Source53%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate

Source47%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate

Average52%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Over 3.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.80

bet365

1.76

Pinnacle

—

Moved

Under 3.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.90

bet365

2.09

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Aston Villa 0

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

bet365

2.72

Pinnacle

—

Moved

Nottingham Forest 0

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

bet365

1.40

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Aston Villa (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line

Source32%Venueover 1.5 hit rate

Source52%Overallover 1.5 hit rate

Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate

Average37%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Nottingham Forest (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line

Source60%Venueover 1.5 hit rate

Source50%Overallover 1.5 hit rate

Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate

Average45%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Yes

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.33

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

No

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

3.25

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Yes

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

2.62

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

No

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.44

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Total cards lines

Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote

bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under

2.5––1.303.39

3––1.422.83

3.51.801.901.762.09

4––2.181.67

4.5––2.661.45

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Asian Handicap Cards

Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards

bet365Pinnacle

Aston Villa 0–2.72

Aston Villa +0.51.971.94

Aston Villa +1–1.55

Nottingham Forest -1–2.31

Nottingham Forest -0.51.821.80

Nottingham Forest 0–1.40

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

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