SANSTARI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
LLLDW
  • Alysson 74'
FT1 – 2
Nottingham Forest
DLLDD
  • Delap 46'
  • Jesus 88'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 15:00 · Villa Park
Match forecast

Total corners · past games

Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
3.7
Aston Villa · for
this season, per game
8.3
Total corners · past games added together
This season, 9 matches each
4.7
Nottingham Forest · for
this season, per game
0369121518
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price—
LOST
6 to 8
Price—
WON
9 to 11
Price—
LOST
12 to 14
Price—
LOST
Over 14
Price—
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 10

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 10
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 10
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

Total corners lines

bet365's main line is 10; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.722.751.542.45
9.5––1.752.09
102.102.001.971.88
10.5––2.191.68
112.751.662.541.50

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price

bet365 alternative corner lines

Within three of the main line (10)
OverUnder
71.226.50
81.404.00
91.722.75
112.751.66
123.751.40
135.501.25

A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.

bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365

Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Aston Villa -22.05
Tie after the handicap8.00
Nottingham Forest +21.95
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check

Line vs averages

Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.

  • Averages, matches played this season: Aston Villa 9 matches; Nottingham Forest 9 matches
  • Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Aston Villa 107, Nottingham Forest 103)

Aston Villa corners for 3.67 a game, Nottingham Forest 4.67, together 8.33 against a 10 line.

Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Aston Villa 3.89 and Nottingham Forest 4.78, together 8.67 against a 10 line.

The added-together figure is 1.7 below the 10 line; the blend is 1.3 below it.

Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 10 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Aston Villa 107 matches, Nottingham Forest 103 matches): over 9.5: Aston Villa 57%, Nottingham Forest 51%; over 10.5: Aston Villa 43%, Nottingham Forest 40%.

Corners for at the venues: Aston Villa at home 4.20 (5 matches), Nottingham Forest away 4.60 (5 matches), together 8.80.

bet365 · line 10 (main line)Over 2.10 · Under 2.00
added together 8.33 is 1.7 below; blend 8.67 is 1.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.54 · Under 2.45
added together 8.33 is 0.7 below; blend 8.67 is 0.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.75 · Under 2.09
added together 8.33 is 1.2 below; blend 8.67 is 0.8 below
Aston Villa 57%, Nottingham Forest 51% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.97 · Under 1.88
added together 8.33 is 1.7 below; blend 8.67 is 1.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.19 · Under 1.68
added together 8.33 is 2.2 below; blend 8.67 is 1.8 below
Aston Villa 43%, Nottingham Forest 40% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.54 · Under 1.50
added together 8.33 is 2.7 below; blend 8.67 is 2.3 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 12 Septolder price
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
5.4
Corners for · per game
4.8
4.5
Corners against · per game
5.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2076%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2058%
Over 4.5 corners
L2050%
L2043%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2057%
Over 9.5 total
L2051%
L2043%
Over 10.5 total
L2040%
L2050%
Match corners W%
L2052%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%
Under 6
10%
33%
6 to 8
24%
38%
9 to 11
40%
19%
12 to 14
19%
2%
Over 14
7%
Aston Villa · 42 matchesNottingham Forest · 42 matches
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.2 · ASTON VILLA
Aston Villa · home
+2.2
net per game
For
6.2
Against
4.0
Nottingham Forest · away
-1.1
net per game
For
4.4
Against
5.5