SANSTARI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
LLLDW
  • Alysson 74'
FT1 – 2
Nottingham Forest
DLLDD
  • Delap 46'
  • Jesus 88'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 15:00 · Villa Park
Market

Match Result (Full Time)

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost
1.85
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Lost
4.40
Estimate
3.40
bet365
3.48
Pinnacle
3.40
bet365
3.48
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Won
4.50
Estimate
3.25
bet365
3.17
Pinnacle
3.25
bet365
3.17
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 19 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market

Winning Margin

Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Aston Villa
lostBY 1
Price4.00
Estimate4.45
▼ 10.0%
lostBY 2
Price6.50
Estimate5.99
▲ 8.5%
lostBY 3
Price13.00
Estimate10.97
▲ 18.5%
lostBY 4+
Price23.00
Estimate16.84
▲ 36.6%
Nottingham Forest
wonBY 1
Price5.00
Estimate7.39
▼ 32.3%
lostBY 2
Price10.00
Estimate16.08
▼ 37.8%
lostBY 3
Price23.00
Estimate48.24
▼ 52.3%
lostBY 4+
Price51.00
Estimate144.01
▼ 64.6%
Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.50
Estimate5.51
▼ 18.4%
lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price10.00
Estimate19.63
▼ 49.1%
Market

Double Chance

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Lost
1.30
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won
1.31
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Won
2.20
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Draw No Bet

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost
1.42
Estimate
—
bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Won
3.45
Estimate
—
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Half-Time Result

Settled · FT 1–2 · HT 0–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Lost
2.50
Estimate
2.87
bet365
2.97
Pinnacle
2.87
bet365
2.97
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Draw
Won
2.56
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost
4.90
Estimate
3.75
bet365
3.87
Pinnacle
3.75
bet365
3.87
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 19 hours before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.

In-play signals

Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.

15:27Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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