SBI
LEAGUE ONE
Luton Town
LWLWW
  • Marshall (pen) 44'
  • Donley 51'
  • Donley 72'
FT3 – 1
Doncaster Rovers
WWLLW
  • McCann 84'
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · 19:45
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.9
Luton Town · for
at home, per game
12.4
Total corners · projected
μ 12.43
5.5
Doncaster Rovers · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price19.00
Fair14.54
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.50
Fair4.27
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair2.72
WON
12 to 14
Price3.25
Fair5.86
LOST
Over 14
Price5.00
Fair6.33
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.27
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.49
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
4.90
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.57
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Luton TownDoncaster Rovers
6.0
Corners for · per game
5.1
4.6
Corners against · per game
5.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2050%
L2064%
Over 4.5 corners
L2054%
L2048%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2064%
Over 9.5 total
L2046%
L2050%
Over 10.5 total
L2038%
L2059%
Match corners W%
L2030%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%
Under 6
10%
24%
6 to 8
35%
41%
9 to 11
28%
17%
12 to 14
13%
12%
Over 14
15%
Luton Town · 41 matchesDoncaster Rovers · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.8 · LUTON TOWN
Luton Town · home
+2.8
net per game
For
7.1
Against
4.3
Doncaster Rovers · away
-0.4
net per game
For
5.2
Against
5.6
Market

Luton Town Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
1.85
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
2.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Doncaster Rovers Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
5.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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