CARABAO CUP
Manchester City
WLWWL
FT (pens)2 – 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
WWWDL
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:30 · Etihad Stadium
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albion
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Hit rates · home v away
L2041%Cards match bet W%L2037%
L2072%Both teams cardedL2071%
L2057%Over 1.5 team cardsL2060%
L2059%Over 3.5 total cardsL2057%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2075%Over 0.5 team cardsL2089%
L2042%Over 1.5 team cardsL2067%
L2029%Over 2.5 team cardsL2039%
L208%Over 3.5 team cardsL2022%
Team cards by line · overall
L2085%Over 0.5 team cardsL2083%
L2057%Over 1.5 team cardsL2060%
L2037%Over 2.5 team cardsL2037%
L2015%Over 3.5 team cardsL2020%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 29 matches
Match average
3.86 YELLOWS / GAME
A. Madley
29
Apps
112
Yellows
3.86
Yellows / game
6
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.97 avg
Away cards2.10 avg
Both teams22/2976%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref97%+1.528/29 matches
Ref79%+2.523/29 matches
Ref55%+3.516/29 matches
Model
Cards · model prediction
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source46%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source55%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model54%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.86
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.48
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.18
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Manchester City 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.84
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Brighton & Hove Albion 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.38
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Manchester City (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source42%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source57%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model44%MasterP(over 1.5)
Brighton & Hove Albion (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source67%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model51%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
3.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.28
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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