SBI
CARABAO CUP
Manchester City
WLWWL
FT (pens)2 – 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
WWWDL
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:30 · Etihad Stadium
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.6
Manchester City · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.37
4.7
Brighton & Hove Albion · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair18.06
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.40
Fair3.47
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.14
WON
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair3.95
LOST
Over 14
Price8.00
Fair11.84
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.49
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.35
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Manchester CityBrighton & Hove Albion
6.4
Corners for · per game
5.1
3.5
Corners against · per game
4.7
Hit rates · over markets
L2091%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2065%
Over 4.5 corners
L2053%
L2056%
Over 5.5 corners
L2039%
L2055%
Over 9.5 total
L2060%
L2046%
Over 10.5 total
L2043%
L2072%
Match corners W%
L2043%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
4%
Under 6
3%
33%
6 to 8
37%
33%
9 to 11
26%
24%
12 to 14
26%
7%
Over 14
9%
Manchester City · 46 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion · 35 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+3.6 · MANCHESTER CITY
Manchester City · home
+3.6
net per game
For
6.8
Against
3.2
Brighton & Hove Albion · away
-0.2
net per game
For
4.9
Against
5.2
Market

Manchester City Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.54
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.86
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Brighton & Hove Albion Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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