SBI
PRIMERA DIVISION
Atlético Progreso
WLDWW
FT0 – 2
Defensor Sporting
WLLLD
  • Cuello 48'
  • Wunsch 84'
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 13:00
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.4
Atlético Progreso · for
at home, per game
10.6
Total corners · projected
μ 10.56
5.2
Defensor Sporting · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price6.50
Fair7.23
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.62
Fair3.38
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair2.76
WON
12 to 14
Price5.50
Fair6.10
LOST
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair24.73
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.77
bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.02
bet365
2.19
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Atlético Progreso 0
1.93
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Defensor Sporting 0
2.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2059%
L2032%
Over 4.5 corners
L2044%
L2015%
Over 5.5 corners
L2029%
L2034%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2024%
Over 10.5 total
L2039%
L2029%
Match corners W%
L2046%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
7%
Under 6
15%
44%
6 to 8
24%
39%
9 to 11
32%
7%
12 to 14
27%
2%
Over 14
2%
Atlético Progreso · 41 matchesDefensor Sporting · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Atlético Progreso · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Defensor Sporting · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Atlético Progreso Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Defensor Sporting Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.69
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.48
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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