Group · Match 43FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT2 – 0
Austria
Manager: Ralf Rangnick
38' L. Messi90+5' L. Messi
Dallas Stadium · Monday, 22 June 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9551%
22
2.1048%
Tie
7.5013%
Tie 22
7.5013%
Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3673%
22
3.0033%
Neither
19.005%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
4.3
Argentina · for
qualifying, per game
8.7
Total corners · projected
μ 8.71
4.4
Austria · for
qualifying, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market

Asian Total Corners 9

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9
Below Estimate
2.34
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-11.5%
Below Est.
Under 9
Above Estimate
1.76
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+5.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:31older price · 150d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Corners

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.7% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Argentina -0.5
Below Estimate
2.06
Estimate
2.44
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-9.5%
Below Est.
Austria +0.5
No Difference
1.97
Estimate
1.48
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+4.7%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 22 Jun 09:30older price · 138d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 09:30older price · 138d ago
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.9551%
22
2.1048%
Tie
7.5013%
Tie 22
7.5013%
Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
1.3673%
22
3.0033%
Neither
19.005%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ArgentinaAustria
4.3
Corners for / g
4.4
2.4
Corners against / g
3.4
6.8
Match corners / g
7.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q72%
Team corners O3.5
Q75%
Q22%
Team corners O4.5
Q38%
Q28%
Match corners O8.5
Q50%
Q22%
Match corners O9.5
Q25%
Q6%
Match corners O10.5
Q13%
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+1.9 · ARGENTINA
Argentina
+1.9
net per game
For
4.3
Against
2.4
Austria
+1.0
net per game
For
4.4
Against
3.4