R16 · Match 95FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 2
Egypt
Manager: Hossam Hussein
79' C. Romero83' L. Messi90+2' E. Fernández
15' Y. Ibrahim67' M. Abdelraouf
Atlanta Stadium · Tuesday, 7 July 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
F. Letexier
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.37
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
+17.3%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.75
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.23
Unibet
-38.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate1.90
Estimate
2.39
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+21.6%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate2.12
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-23.8%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate3.05
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
+13.9%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.26
Unibet
-13.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.24
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
+27.5%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate5.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
-54.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Argentina +0
No Difference1.72
Estimate
3.22
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Egypt +0
No Difference2.40
Estimate
1.34
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Ahmed Fatouh
3.10—Booked
3.1032%Mostafa Ziko
3.25—Hamdi Fathi
3.50—Emam Ashour
3.50—Marwan Attia
3.50—Hossam Abdelmaguid
3.50—Karim Hafez
3.50—Nabil Emad
4.00—Mohamed Abdelmonem
4.00—Tarek Alaa
4.00—Ahmed Sayed Zizo
4.00—Leandro Paredes
4.33—Ramy Rabia
4.50—Yasser Ibrahim
4.50—Omar Marmoush
4.50—Mohanad Lasheen
4.50—Haissem Hassan
4.50—Mahmoud Saber
4.50—Hamza Abdelkarim
4.50—Nicolas Otamendi
4.75—Rodrigo De Paul
4.75—Cristian Romero
4.75—Marcos Senesi
4.75—Mohamed Hany
5.00—Ibrahim Adel
5.00—Mahmoud Trezeguet
5.50—Facundo Medina
5.50—Lisandro Martinez
5.50—Nicolas Gonzalez
5.50—Nicolas Tagliafico
6.50—Mohamed El Shenawy
6.50—El Mahdi Soliman
6.50—Gonzalo Montiel
6.50—Exequiel Palacios
6.50—Nahuel Molina
6.50—Enzo Fernandez
6.50—Oufa Shobeir
6.50—Valentin Barco
6.50—Mohamed Alaa
6.50—Jose Flaco Lopez
6.50—Giovani Lo Celso
7.00—Alexis Mac Allister
7.00—Giuliano Simeone
7.00—Lautaro Martinez
8.00—Nicolas Paz
8.00—Mohamed Salah
8.50—Thiago Almada
8.50—Lionel Messi
10.00—Julian Alvarez
10.00—Emiliano Martinez
13.00—Juan Musso
21.00—Geronimo Rulli
26.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
8.5012%Ahmed Fatouh
9.00—Mostafa Ziko
10.00—Hamdi Fathi
11.00—Emam Ashour
11.00—Marwan Attia
11.00—Hossam Abdelmaguid
11.00—Karim Hafez
11.00—Leandro Paredes
12.00—Nabil Emad
12.00—Mohamed Abdelmonem
12.00—Tarek Alaa
12.00—Ahmed Sayed Zizo
12.00—Nicolas Otamendi
13.00—Rodrigo De Paul
13.00—Cristian Romero
13.00—Marcos Senesi
13.00—Ramy Rabia
15.00—Mohamed Hany
15.00—Yasser Ibrahim
15.00—Omar Marmoush
15.00—Facundo Medina
15.00—Lisandro Martinez
15.00—Mohanad Lasheen
15.00—Haissem Hassan
15.00—Mahmoud Saber
15.00—Ibrahim Adel
15.00—Hamza Abdelkarim
15.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
15.00—Mahmoud Trezeguet
17.00—Nicolas Tagliafico
17.00—Gonzalo Montiel
17.00—Exequiel Palacios
17.00—Nahuel Molina
17.00—Enzo Fernandez
17.00—Valentin Barco
17.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
17.00—Giovani Lo Celso
21.00—Alexis Mac Allister
21.00—Mohamed El Shenawy
21.00—El Mahdi Soliman
21.00—Lautaro Martinez
21.00—Oufa Shobeir
21.00—Giuliano Simeone
21.00—Mohamed Alaa
21.00—Nicolas Paz
21.00—Thiago Almada
23.00—Mohamed Salah
26.00—Lionel Messi
29.00—Julian Alvarez
29.00—Emiliano Martinez
34.00—Juan Musso
51.00—Geronimo Rulli
67.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Argentina 0 / Egypt 5
State
FULL-TIME
90+3'Yellow cardEgypt
Oufa Shobeir
Argument
90+4'Yellow cardEgypt
Hamdy Fathy
Argument
90+8'Yellow cardEgypt
Marwan Ateya
Foul
90+9'Yellow cardEgypt
Hossam Hassan
Argument
90+12'Yellow cardEgypt
Haissem Hassan
Argument
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ArgentinaEgypt
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team cards Over 1.5Q30%
Q22%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q61%Match cards Over 3.5Q40%
Q72%Both teams cardedQ90%
Overall
Argentina
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Egypt
30%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
40%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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