R16 · Match 95FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 2
Egypt
Manager: Hossam Hussein
79' C. Romero83' L. Messi90+2' E. Fernández
15' Y. Ibrahim67' M. Abdelraouf
Atlanta Stadium · Tuesday, 7 July 2026 · 17:00 · FT · Argentina won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.18vs book · Bet3652.37STATS DIFF -43.4%
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Egypt
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.56
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.53vs book · Pinnacle1.29STATS DIFF -15.4%
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Egypt
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.00
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.90vs book · Pinnacle2.00STATS DIFF -31.1%
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Egypt
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.48
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.31
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds9.48vs book · Pinnacle3.48STATS DIFF -63.3%
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Egypt
10% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
31-45+' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 31-45+ window.
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
33'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Egypt
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Argentina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.11
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.65
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d ago
Market
Egypt to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
2.19
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
1.69
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 7 Jul 16:45older price · 122d agoPinnacleas of 7 Jul 09:30older price · 123d ago
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