QF · Match 100FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 1
Switzerland
Manager: Murat Yakin
10' A. Allister112' J. Álvarez120+1' L. Martínez
67' D. Ndoye
Kansas City Stadium · Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Argentina won after extra-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.51
Estimate
1.54
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+9.5%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate2.98
Estimate
2.45
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-24.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference2.26
Estimate
2.24
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.81
Estimate
1.64
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-8.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate3.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-11.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.26
Unibet
-4.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate1.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
-22.2%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate2.12
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
+27.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Argentina +0
No Difference1.26
Estimate
2.31
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Switzerland +0
No Difference5.00
Estimate
1.60
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Denis Zakaria
3.20—Michel Aebischer
3.20—Ardon Jashari
3.40—Leandro Paredes
3.50—Miro Muheim
3.60—Fabian Rieder
3.60—Nicolas Otamendi
3.75—Rodrigo De Paul
3.75—Cristian Romero
3.75—Marcos Senesi
3.75—Granit Xhaka
4.00—Djibril Sow
4.00—Eray Comert
4.00—Aurele Amenda
4.00—Facundo Medina
4.50—Lisandro Martinez
4.50—Nicolas Gonzalez
4.50—Silvan Widmer
4.75—Remo Freuler
4.75—Manuel Akanji
4.75—Ruben Vargas
4.75—Luca Jaquez
4.75—Johan Manzambi
4.75—Ricardo Rodriguez
5.00—Breel Embolo
5.00—Nicolas Tagliafico
5.00—Gonzalo Montiel
5.00—Exequiel Palacios
5.00—Nahuel Molina
5.00—Dan Ndoye
5.00—Enzo Fernandez
5.00—Zeki Amdouni
5.00—Valentin Barco
5.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
5.00—Nico Elvedi
5.50—Giovani Lo Celso
5.50—Cedric Itten
5.50—Alexis Mac Allister
5.50—Noah Okafor
5.50—Giuliano Simeone
5.50—Booked
5.5018%Lautaro Martinez
6.50—Nicolas Paz
6.50—Christian Fassnacht
7.00—Thiago Almada
7.00—Lionel Messi
8.50—Julian Alvarez
8.50—Marvin Keller
8.50—Emiliano Martinez
11.00—Gregor Kobel
13.00—Landry Mvogo
13.00—Juan Musso
15.00—Geronimo Rulli
21.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Denis Zakaria
9.50—Michel Aebischer
9.50—Ardon Jashari
10.00—Leandro Paredes
11.00—Miro Muheim
11.00—Fabian Rieder
11.00—Nicolas Otamendi
12.00—Rodrigo De Paul
12.00—Cristian Romero
12.00—Marcos Senesi
12.00—Granit Xhaka
13.00—Djibril Sow
13.00—Eray Comert
13.00—Aurele Amenda
13.00—Silvan Widmer
15.00—Remo Freuler
15.00—Manuel Akanji
15.00—Facundo Medina
15.00—Ruben Vargas
15.00—Lisandro Martinez
15.00—Luca Jaquez
15.00—Johan Manzambi
15.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
15.00—Ricardo Rodriguez
17.00—Breel Embolo
17.00—Nicolas Tagliafico
17.00—Gonzalo Montiel
17.00—Exequiel Palacios
17.00—Nahuel Molina
17.00—Dan Ndoye
17.00—Enzo Fernandez
17.00—Zeki Amdouni
17.00—Valentin Barco
17.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
17.00—Nico Elvedi
19.00—Giovani Lo Celso
19.00—Cedric Itten
19.00—Alexis Mac Allister
19.00—Noah Okafor
19.00—Giuliano Simeone
19.00—Christian Fassnacht
21.00—Lautaro Martinez
21.00—Thiago Almada
21.00—Nicolas Paz
21.00—1st Card
21.005%Lionel Messi
26.00—Julian Alvarez
26.00—Marvin Keller
29.00—Emiliano Martinez
34.00—Gregor Kobel
41.00—Landry Mvogo
41.00—Juan Musso
51.00—Geronimo Rulli
67.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Argentina 3 / Switzerland 2
State
FULL-TIME
44'Yellow cardSwitzerland
Breel Embolo
Foul
72'Second yellowSwitzerland
Breel Embolo
Simulation
97'Yellow cardArgentina
Thiago Almada
Foul
98'Yellow cardArgentina
Lautaro Martínez
Foul
114'Yellow cardArgentina
José Manuel López
Argument
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
ArgentinaSwitzerland
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q44%Team cards Over 1.5Q17%
Q22%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q61%Match cards Over 3.5Q17%
Q72%Both teams cardedQ33%
Overall
Argentina
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Switzerland
17%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.

