QF · Match 100FIFA World Cup 2026
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
FT3 – 1
Switzerland
Manager: Murat Yakin
10' A. Allister112' J. Álvarez120+1' L. Martínez
67' D. Ndoye
Kansas City Stadium · Sunday, 12 July 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Argentina won after extra-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.27vs book · Bet3652.10STATS DIFF -35.8%
28
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
33
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
2.98
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.39vs book · Pinnacle1.40STATS DIFF +1.1%
61
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
83
Switzerland
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.25vs book · Pinnacle2.33STATS DIFF +3.6%
39
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
50
Switzerland
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.74
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.50vs book · Marathonbet3.74STATS DIFF -17.0%
11
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
33
Switzerland
33% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 31, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Switzerland
10 games · 1 goalless
35'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Argentina to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d ago
Market

Switzerland to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
—
Estimate
1.79
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference
—
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 23:00older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 09:31older price · 118d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.