R16 · Match 91FIFA World Cup 2026
Brazil
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
FT1 – 2
Norway
Manager: Ståle Solbakken
90+10' Neymar (P)
79' E. Haaland90' E. Haaland
New York New Jersey Stadium · Sunday, 5 July 2026 · 21:00 · FT · Norway won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds2.12vs book · Bet3651.61STATS DIFF -24.0%
Brazil
44% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Norway
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.18
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.89
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.35vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF -6.4%
Brazil
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Norway
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.29
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.58vs book · Pinnacle1.68STATS DIFF +6.2%
Brazil
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Norway
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.65
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.18vs book · Pinnacle2.65STATS DIFF +21.5%
Brazil
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Norway
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Brazil
10 games · 1 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Norway
10 games · 0 goalless
28'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Brazil to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d ago
Market
Norway to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.43
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.93
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 5 Jul 20:30older price · 124d agoPinnacleas of 5 Jul 09:31older price · 125d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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