Group · Match 3FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
FT1 – 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager: Sergej Barbarez
78' C. Larin
21' J. Lukic
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 12 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
F. Tello Figueroa
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.08
Estimate
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Unibet
+22.9%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
14.00
Estimate
3.42
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
-77.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
1.21
Estimate
1.53
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+55.1%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
5.90
Estimate
2.48
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-68.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Above Estimate
1.46
Estimate
2.14
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+28.9%
Above Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate
3.20
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-41.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference
—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Canada +0
No Difference
1.86
Estimate
2.85
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Bosnia and Herzegovina +0
No Difference
2.18
Estimate
1.42
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
4.7521%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
15.007%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Canada 2 / Bosnia and Herzegovina 3
State
FULL-TIME
11'Yellow card
Alistair Johnston
Foul
Canada
45'Yellow card
Ermedin Demirovic
Foul
Bosnia and Herzegovina
45+1'Yellow card
Jovo Lukic
Foul
Bosnia and Herzegovina
53'Yellow card
Luc De Fougerolles
Foul
Canada
90+3'Yellow card
Nikola Katic
Foul
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
CanadaBosnia and Herzegovina
—
Team cards / g
2.8
—
Match cards / g
5.8
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—
Team cards Over 1.5
Q90%
Q—
Team cards Over 2.5
Q50%
Q—
Match cards Over 3.5
Q80%
Q—
Both teams carded
Q100%
Overall
Canada
No card data on file
Bosnia and Herzegovina
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
80%
Match O3.5