Group · Match 3FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
FT1 – 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager: Sergej Barbarez
78' C. Larin
21' J. Lukic
Toronto Stadium · Friday, 12 June 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.42
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
-12.4%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
1.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
+1.8%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.43vs book · Bet3652.05STATS DIFF +43.5%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
70
Bosnia and Herzegovina
70% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Below Estimate
1.58
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
-11.0%
Below Est.
Under 1.5
Above Estimate
2.74
Estimate
2.91
Pinnacle
2.92
Marathonbet
+9.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.25vs book · Pinnacle1.43STATS DIFF +14.4%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
80
Bosnia and Herzegovina
80% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
6/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
2.80
Estimate
2.35
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-19.1%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
1.56
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+9.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d agoPinnacleas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.35STATS DIFF +17.5%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
50
Bosnia and Herzegovina
50% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
5/8
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +4.3% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
6.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.94
Marathonbet
-33.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
No Difference
1.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
+4.3%
Below Bar
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.33vs book · Marathonbet3.94STATS DIFF +18.2%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
30
Bosnia and Herzegovina
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 8
3/8
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 26, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Bosnia and Herzegovina
8 games · 0 goalless
26'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Canada to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
-9.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
3.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.25
Marathonbet
+18.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Market

Bosnia and Herzegovina to Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.78
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
-4.6%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
2.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 12 Jun 19:30older price · 147d ago
Group BView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Switzerland
32107-3+47
2
Canada
31118-3+54
3
Bosnia and Herzegovina
31115-6-14
4
Qatar
30122-10-81
Other Group B matches5
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