R16 · Match 90FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
FT0 – 3
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
50' A. Ounahi82' A. Ounahi90+8' S. Rahimi
Houston Stadium · Saturday, 4 July 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Morocco won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
2.2045%2
2.2544%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5365%1
2.4042%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
—
Canada · for
qualifying, per game
8.0
Total corners · projected
6.1
Morocco · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference3.55
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference1.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Canada -0.5
Below Estimate25.50
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
-92.7%
Below Est.
Morocco +0.5
Above Estimate1.05
Estimate
1.88
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
+93.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 4 Jul 09:30older price · 126d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 09:30older price · 126d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
2.2045%2
2.2544%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5365%1
2.4042%Neither
21.005%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
CanadaMorocco
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q—Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q—Team corners O4.5Q63%
Q—Match corners O8.5Q25%
Q—Match corners O9.5Q25%
Q—Match corners O10.5Q13%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.3 · MOROCCO
Canada
—
net per game
Morocco
+4.3
net per game
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.