R16 · Match 90FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada
Manager: Jesse Marsch
FT0 – 3
Morocco
Manager: Mohamed Ouahbi
50' A. Ounahi82' A. Ounahi90+8' S. Rahimi
Houston Stadium · Saturday, 4 July 2026 · 18:00 · FT · Morocco won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Bet3652.00STATS DIFF -50.0%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.39
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.00
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.14vs book · Pinnacle1.39STATS DIFF +21.6%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Morocco
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.31
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.31STATS DIFF +15.5%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Morocco
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.95
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Marathonbet3.95STATS DIFF -1.2%
Canada: no qualifying campaign data
Morocco
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 30, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Canada
4 games · 0 goalless
43'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Morocco
10 games · 0 goalless
24'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Canada to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.22
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 09:30older price · 126d ago
Market
Morocco to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.21
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
4.39
Pinnacle
4.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 4 Jul 17:15older price · 125d agoPinnacleas of 4 Jul 09:30older price · 126d ago
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