Group · Match 9FIFA World Cup 2026
Côte d'Ivoire
Manager: Emerse Fae
FT1 – 0
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
90' A. Diallo
Philadelphia Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Côte d'Ivoire won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
F. Letexier
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate
1.73
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
-20.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate
2.38
Estimate
2.75
Pinnacle
3.00
Unibet
+29.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.82
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-39.4%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.56
Estimate
1.79
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+39.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.40
Estimate
3.00
Pinnacle
2.50
Unibet
-52.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
+21.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
1.70
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
-22.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
2.44
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
+47.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Côte d'Ivoire +0
No Difference
2.98
Estimate
1.78
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Ecuador +0
No Difference
1.51
Estimate
2.05
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Match odds

Player to be Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Booked
4.5022%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

1st Player Booked

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1st Card
15.007%
Source: bet365 · 1 outcomes · informational only
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Côte d'Ivoire 3 / Ecuador 1
State
FULL-TIME
28'Yellow card
Seko Fofana
Foul
Côte d'Ivoire
38'Yellow card
Franck Kessié
Foul
Côte d'Ivoire
40'Yellow card
Guela Doué
Foul
Côte d'Ivoire
73'Yellow card
Jackson Porozo
Foul
Ecuador
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
Côte d'IvoireEcuador
1.1
Team cards / g
1.6
2.3
Match cards / g
3.7
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q40%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q44%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q22%
Q10%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q50%
Q40%
Both teams carded
Q78%
Overall
Côte d'Ivoire
40%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
10%
Match O3.5
Ecuador
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
6%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5