Group · Match 9FIFA World Cup 2026
Côte d'Ivoire
Manager: Emerse Fae
FT1 – 0
Ecuador
Manager: Sebastián Beccacece
90' A. Diallo
Philadelphia Stadium · Monday, 15 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Côte d'Ivoire won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Market

Both Teams To Score

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-13.4%
Below Est.
No
No Difference
1.63
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-0.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds11.98vs book · Bet3652.20STATS DIFF -81.6%
0
Côte d'Ivoire
0% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
0/10
17
Ecuador
17% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 1.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
Above Estimate
1.41
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
+18.2%
Above Est.
Under 1.5
Below Estimate
3.50
Estimate
2.33
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
-35.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.22vs book · Pinnacle1.65STATS DIFF -48.7%
40
Côte d'Ivoire
40% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
22
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
2.20
Estimate
3.07
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
+40.2%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
1.84
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
-19.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.83vs book · Pinnacle3.07STATS DIFF -19.9%
30
Côte d'Ivoire
30% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
22
Ecuador
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market

Goals Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
4.20
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.05
Marathonbet
+47.6%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.32
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.10
Marathonbet
-14.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds7.81vs book · Marathonbet6.05STATS DIFF -22.6%
20
Côte d'Ivoire
20% overall · qualifying campaign
10 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
6
Ecuador
6% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Goal timing

When does the first goal arrive?

First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 22, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Côte d'Ivoire
10 games · 2 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Ecuador
10 games · 6 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market

Côte d'Ivoire to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate
2.22
Estimate
1.58
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
-25.0%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate
1.83
Estimate
2.40
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
+29.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 09:30older price · 145d ago
Market

Ecuador to Score

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.18
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
+27.8%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
6.80
Estimate
2.80
Pinnacle
2.68
Marathonbet
-59.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jun 22:45older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jun 09:30older price · 145d ago
Group EView group
TeamPLWDL+/−GDPTSNext
1
Germany
320110-4+66
2
Côte d'Ivoire
32014-2+26
3
Ecuador
31112-204
4
Curacao
30121-9-81
Other Group E matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.
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