Group · Match 53FIFA World Cup 2026
Czech Republic
Manager: Miroslav Koubek
FT0 – 3
Mexico
Manager: Javier Aguirre Onaindía
55' M. Chávez61' J. Quiñones90+4' Á. Fidalgo
Mexico City Stadium · Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Mexico won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
Y. Falcón Pérez
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.62
Estimate
1.52
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+5.7%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate2.64
Estimate
2.52
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-18.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate2.52
Estimate
2.19
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-18.7%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.66
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+6.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate4.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.95
Unibet
-34.4%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.29
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
+6.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.7% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference1.43
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
+0.7%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate3.35
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
-15.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Czech Republic +0
No Difference6.40
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Mexico +0
No Difference1.20
Estimate
2.71
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 24 Jun 22:30older price · 135d ago
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Czech Republic 0 / Mexico 1
State
FULL-TIME
64'Yellow cardMexico
Edson Álvarez
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
Czech RepublicMexico
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q10%Team cards Over 1.5Q—
Q0%Team cards Over 2.5Q—
Q50%Match cards Over 3.5Q—
Q70%Both teams cardedQ—
Overall
Czech Republic
10%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Mexico
No card data on file
Group AView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-0 | +6 | 9 | — |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | -1 | 4 | — |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | -1 | 3 | — |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | -4 | 1 | — |
Other Group A matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.