Group · Match 42FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT3 – 0
Iraq
Manager: Graham Arnold
14' K. Mbappé54' K. Mbappé66' O. Dembélé
Philadelphia Stadium · Monday, 22 June 2026 · 22:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
D. Fischer
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate
1.65
Estimate
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+24.2%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.56
Estimate
1.81
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-30.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d agoPinnacleas of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Above Estimate
2.62
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Unibet
+8.3%
Above Est.
Under 3.5
Below Estimate
1.63
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
-12.7%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
4.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Unibet
-46.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.27
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.45
Unibet
+17.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate
1.52
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+35.1%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate
2.94
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-39.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France +0
No Difference
2.70
Estimate
4.16
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Iraq +0
No Difference
1.60
Estimate
1.23
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 22 Jun 21:15older price · 137d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · France 0 / Iraq 1
State
FULL-TIME
6'Yellow card
Amir Al-Ammari
Foul
Iraq
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceIraq
1.4
Team cards / g
1.9
2.7
Match cards / g
3.6
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q17%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q50%
Q17%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q15%
Q17%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q55%
Q67%
Both teams carded
Q65%
Overall
France
17%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Iraq
50%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
55%
Match O3.5