SF · Match 101FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT0 – 2
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
22' M. Oyarzabal (P)58' P. Porro
Dallas Stadium · Tuesday, 14 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Barton
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.90
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
-44.3%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.53
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
+51.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate6.40
Estimate
2.65
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-66.1%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.19
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+43.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate16.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-79.7%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.07
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.26
Unibet
+21.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
-35.9%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.72
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
+49.7%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France +0
No Difference1.59
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Spain +0
No Difference2.72
Estimate
2.15
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Lucas Hernandez
3.10—Theo Hernandez
3.40—Kouadio Kone
3.40—Booked
3.5029%Adrien Rabiot
3.60—Aurelien Tchouameni
3.60—Mikel Merino
3.75—Alex Baena
3.75—Pedro Porro
3.75—Pau Cubarsi
3.75—Gavi
3.75—Dayot Upamecano
4.00—Ibrahima Konate
4.00—Warren Zaire Emery
4.00—Ngolo Kante
4.00—Rodri
4.00—Malo Gusto
4.33—Maghnes Akliouche
4.33—Aymeric Laporte
4.50—Marc Cucurella
4.50—Martin Zubimendi
4.50—Yeremy Pino
4.50—Lucas Digne
5.00—Marcos Llorente
5.00—William Saliba
5.00—Desire Doue
5.00—Borja Iglesias
5.50—Eric Garcia
5.50—Rayan Cherki
5.50—Maxence Lacroix
6.00—Bradley Barcola
6.00—Lamine Yamal
6.00—Alex Grimaldo
6.00—Pedri
6.00—Jules Kounde
6.50—Michael Olise
6.50—Ousmane Dembele
7.00—Kylian Mbappe
7.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
7.00—Marcus Thuram
7.00—Fabian Ruiz
7.00—Nico Williams
7.00—Marc Pubill
7.00—Victor Munoz
7.50—Dani Olmo
8.50—Mikel Oyarzabal
8.50—Ferran Torres
8.50—Brice Samba
9.50—Mike Maignan
9.50—David Raya
13.00—Unai Simon
13.00—Joan Garcia
13.00—Robin Risser
13.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Lucas Hernandez
9.00—Theo Hernandez
10.00—Kouadio Kone
10.00—Adrien Rabiot
11.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
11.00—1st Card
11.009%Mikel Merino
12.00—Dayot Upamecano
12.00—Ibrahima Konate
12.00—Alex Baena
12.00—Pedro Porro
12.00—Warren Zaire Emery
12.00—Pau Cubarsi
12.00—Gavi
12.00—Ngolo Kante
12.00—Aymeric Laporte
13.00—Marc Cucurella
13.00—Martin Zubimendi
13.00—Yeremy Pino
13.00—Malo Gusto
13.00—Maghnes Akliouche
13.00—Rodri
13.00—Lucas Digne
15.00—Marcos Llorente
15.00—William Saliba
15.00—Desire Doue
15.00—Borja Iglesias
17.00—Eric Garcia
17.00—Rayan Cherki
17.00—Maxence Lacroix
19.00—Bradley Barcola
19.00—Fabian Ruiz
21.00—Jules Kounde
21.00—Michael Olise
21.00—Nico Williams
21.00—Marc Pubill
21.00—Lamine Yamal
21.00—Alex Grimaldo
21.00—Pedri
21.00—Ousmane Dembele
23.00—Kylian Mbappe
23.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
23.00—Marcus Thuram
23.00—Victor Munoz
23.00—Dani Olmo
26.00—Mikel Oyarzabal
26.00—Ferran Torres
26.00—Brice Samba
29.00—Mike Maignan
29.00—David Raya
41.00—Unai Simon
41.00—Joan Garcia
41.00—Robin Risser
41.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · France 2 / Spain 1
State
FULL-TIME
9'Yellow cardFrance
Adrien Rabiot
Foul
31'Yellow cardSpain
Marc Cucurella
Foul
86'Yellow cardFrance
Kylian Mbappé
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceSpain
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q17%Team cards Over 1.5Q0%
Q17%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q17%Match cards Over 3.5Q17%
Q67%Both teams cardedQ17%
Overall
France
17%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Spain
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.