SF · Match 101FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT0 – 2
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
22' M. Oyarzabal (P)58' P. Porro
Dallas Stadium · Tuesday, 14 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Bet3651.66STATS DIFF -44.6%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Spain
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
4.00
Pinnacle
3.64
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds—vs book · Pinnacle1.24STATS DIFF —
France
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Spain
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.92
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.98
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.20vs book · Pinnacle1.92STATS DIFF +59.9%
France
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Spain
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.16
Pinnacle
2.78
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d agoPinnacleas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.71vs book · Pinnacle3.16STATS DIFF +84.4%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Spain
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 36, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
France
10 games · 0 goalless
41'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Spain
10 games · 1 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
France to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.92
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Market
Spain to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 14 Jul 19:30older price · 115d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.