R32 · Match 77FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT3 – 0
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
45' K. Mbappé53' B. Barcola74' K. Mbappé
New York New Jersey Stadium · Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 22:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
D. Makkelie
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Above Estimate1.49
Estimate
2.18
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+37.9%
Above Est.
Under 2.5
Below Estimate3.05
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-41.9%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +2.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference2.20
Estimate
2.71
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+2.8%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Below Estimate1.84
Estimate
1.44
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-10.1%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate3.75
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.15
Unibet
-13.7%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Below Estimate1.37
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
-2.3%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+45.2%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate4.40
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-57.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
France +0
No Difference2.92
Estimate
2.79
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Sweden +0
No Difference1.53
Estimate
1.43
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Herman Johansson
3.60—Mattias Svanberg
4.00—Eric Smith
4.33—Ken Sema
4.33—Gabriel Gudmundsson
4.33—Gustaf Lagerbielke
4.33—Lucas Bergvall
4.33—Yasin Ayari
4.75—Booked
5.0020%Gustaf Nilsson
5.50—Lucas Hernandez
5.50—Jesper Karlstrom
5.50—Hjalmar Ekdal
5.50—Alexander Bernhardsson
5.50—Benjamin Nygren
5.50—Elliot Stroud
5.50—Daniel Svensson
5.50—Theo Hernandez
6.00—Carl Starfelt
6.00—Kouadio Kone
6.00—Besfort Zeneli
6.00—Alexander Isak
6.50—Adrien Rabiot
6.50—Victor Lindelof
6.50—Viktor Gyokeres
6.50—Dayot Upamecano
7.00—Ibrahima Konate
7.00—Warren Zaire Emery
7.00—Ngolo Kante
7.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
8.00—Anthony Elanga
8.00—Taha Ali
8.00—Malo Gusto
8.00—Maghnes Akliouche
8.00—William Saliba
9.00—Desire Doue
9.00—Kristoffer Nordfeldt
10.00—Viktor Johansson
10.00—Rayan Cherki
10.00—Jacob Zetterstrom
10.00—Lucas Digne
11.00—Maxence Lacroix
11.00—Bradley Barcola
11.00—Jules Kounde
12.00—Michael Olise
12.00—Ousmane Dembele
13.00—Kylian Mbappe
13.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
13.00—Marcus Thuram
13.00—Brice Samba
17.00—Mike Maignan
17.00—Robin Risser
23.00—Source: bet365 · 52 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Herman Johansson
8.50—Mattias Svanberg
9.50—Eric Smith
10.00—Ken Sema
10.00—Gabriel Gudmundsson
10.00—Gustaf Lagerbielke
10.00—Lucas Bergvall
10.00—Yasin Ayari
12.00—Gustaf Nilsson
13.00—Jesper Karlstrom
13.00—Hjalmar Ekdal
13.00—Alexander Bernhardsson
13.00—Benjamin Nygren
13.00—Elliot Stroud
13.00—Daniel Svensson
13.00—Lucas Hernandez
15.00—Theo Hernandez
15.00—Carl Starfelt
15.00—Kouadio Kone
15.00—Besfort Zeneli
15.00—Alexander Isak
17.00—Adrien Rabiot
17.00—Victor Lindelof
17.00—Viktor Gyokeres
17.00—1st Card
17.006%Dayot Upamecano
19.00—Ibrahima Konate
19.00—Warren Zaire Emery
19.00—Ngolo Kante
19.00—Aurelien Tchouameni
21.00—Anthony Elanga
21.00—Taha Ali
21.00—Malo Gusto
21.00—Maghnes Akliouche
21.00—William Saliba
23.00—Desire Doue
23.00—Kristoffer Nordfeldt
26.00—Viktor Johansson
26.00—Rayan Cherki
26.00—Jacob Zetterstrom
26.00—Lucas Digne
29.00—Jules Kounde
29.00—Maxence Lacroix
29.00—Michael Olise
29.00—Bradley Barcola
29.00—Ousmane Dembele
34.00—Kylian Mbappe
34.00—Jean-Philippe Mateta
34.00—Marcus Thuram
34.00—Brice Samba
41.00—Mike Maignan
41.00—Robin Risser
67.00—Source: bet365 · 52 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
FranceSweden
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q17%Team cards Over 1.5Q63%
Q17%Team cards Over 2.5Q25%
Q17%Match cards Over 3.5Q50%
Q67%Both teams cardedQ88%
Overall
France
17%
Over 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Sweden
63%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.