R32 · Match 77FIFA World Cup 2026
France
Manager: Didier Deschamps
FT3 – 0
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
45' K. Mbappé53' B. Barcola74' K. Mbappé
New York New Jersey Stadium · Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 22:00 · FT · France won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds1.78vs book · Bet3651.70STATS DIFF -4.4%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
5/9
Sweden
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.07
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.64
Pinnacle
6.20
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.07vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF +18.1%
France
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
9/9
Sweden
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.97
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.50vs book · Bet3651.40STATS DIFF -6.7%
France
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
8/9
Sweden
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.10STATS DIFF +5.0%
France
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
5/9
Sweden
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
France
9 games · 0 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Sweden
10 games · 0 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
France to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.03
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
11.75
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d ago
Market
Sweden to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 30 Jun 21:15older price · 129d agoPinnacleas of 30 Jun 09:30older price · 129d ago
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