R32 · Match 74FIFA World Cup 2026
Germany
Manager: Julian Nagelsmann
FT1 – 1
Paraguay
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
54' K. Havertz
42' J. Enciso
Boston Stadium · Monday, 29 June 2026 · 21:30 · FT · Paraguay won after penalties.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds5.14vs book · Bet3651.95STATS DIFF -62.1%
Germany
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
Paraguay
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.17
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
4.60
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.80vs book · Marathonbet1.17STATS DIFF -35.0%
Germany
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
8/9
Paraguay
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.24
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.77vs book · Pinnacle1.70STATS DIFF -38.6%
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
6/9
Paraguay
22% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.78
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.46
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds3.27vs book · Pinnacle2.78STATS DIFF -15.1%
Germany
50% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 9
4/9
Paraguay
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 25, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Germany
9 games · 0 goalless
22'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Paraguay
10 games · 2 goalless
28'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Germany to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.06
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
8.80
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d ago
Market
Paraguay to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
1.95
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 29 Jun 20:30older price · 130d agoPinnacleas of 29 Jun 09:30older price · 131d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.