Group · Match 15FIFA World Cup 2026
Iran
Manager: Amir Ghalenoei
FT2 – 2
New Zealand
Manager: Darren Bazeley
32' R. Rezaeian64' M. Mohebi
7' E. Just54' E. Just
Los Angeles Stadium · Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.0050%
11
2.1048%
Tie
7.0014%
Tie 11
7.5013%
Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
3.7527%
22
7.0014%
Neither
15.007%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
3.3
Iran · for
qualifying, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.30
8.0
New Zealand · for
qualifying, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market

Asian Total Corners 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 8.5
Above Estimate
1.27
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+58.5%
Above Est.
Under 8.5
Below Estimate
4.90
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-61.5%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 9 Jun 21:29older price · 150d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Corners

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Iran -0.5
Below Estimate
4.90
Estimate
1.68
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-59.4%
Below Est.
New Zealand +0.5
Above Estimate
1.26
Estimate
2.10
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+50.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 15 Jun 09:31older price · 145d agoPinnacleas of 15 Jun 09:31older price · 145d ago
Match odds

Corner Handicap

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
22
2.0050%
11
2.1048%
Tie
7.0014%
Tie 11
7.5013%
Source: bet365 · 4 outcomes · informational only
Match odds

Corners Race

Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
11
3.7527%
22
7.0014%
Neither
15.007%
Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
IranNew Zealand
3.3
Corners for / g
8.0
3.7
Corners against / g
4.3
7.0
Match corners / g
12.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q19%
Team corners O3.5
Q40%
Q13%
Team corners O4.5
Q40%
Q13%
Match corners O8.5
Q40%
Q6%
Match corners O9.5
Q40%
Q6%
Match corners O10.5
Q40%
Differential profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+3.7 · NEW ZEALAND
Iran
-0.4
net per game
For
3.3
Against
3.7
New Zealand
+3.7
net per game
For
8.0
Against
4.3