Group · Match 57FIFA World Cup 2026
Japan
Manager: Hajime Moriyasu
FT1 – 1
Sweden
Manager: Graham Potter
56' D. Maeda
62' A. Elanga
Dallas Stadium · Friday, 26 June 2026 · 00:00 · FT · Game ended in draw.
Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin
Officiating

Referee profile

Sample
NO REFEREE
I. Barton
No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.8% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference
1.74
Estimate
1.90
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+1.8%
Below Bar
Under 2.5
Below Estimate
2.38
Estimate
1.92
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-13.0%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate
2.84
Estimate
2.81
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-23.9%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate
1.55
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+9.9%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d agoPinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate
5.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.35
Unibet
-36.8%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate
1.23
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
+5.8%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.2% above our estimate — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference
1.60
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+3.2%
Below Bar
No
Below Estimate
2.68
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-15.4%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Japan +0
No Difference
6.40
Estimate
2.25
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Sweden +0
No Difference
1.19
Estimate
1.66
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 25 Jun 23:00older price · 134d ago
Match events

Cards in this match

Total cards · Japan 1 / Sweden 2
State
FULL-TIME
32'Yellow card
Isak Hien
Foul
Sweden
77'Yellow card
Shogo Taniguchi
Foul
Japan
85'Yellow card
Viktor Gyökeres
Foul
Sweden
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
JapanSweden
0.7
Team cards / g
2.0
1.8
Match cards / g
4.3
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q6%
Team cards Over 1.5
Q63%
Q0%
Team cards Over 2.5
Q25%
Q19%
Match cards Over 3.5
Q50%
Q38%
Both teams carded
Q88%
Overall
Japan
6%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
19%
Match O3.5
Sweden
63%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Match O3.5