QF · Match 99FIFA World Cup 2026
Norway
Manager: Ståle Solbakken
FT1 – 2
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
36' A. Schjelderup
45+2' J. Bellingham93' J. Bellingham
Miami Stadium · Saturday, 11 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · England won after extra-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
C. Turpin
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate2.82
Estimate
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-22.8%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate1.56
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+9.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate6.20
Estimate
2.63
Pinnacle
3.15
Unibet
-46.6%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.20
Estimate
1.47
Pinnacle
1.29
Unibet
+10.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate15.50
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.10
Unibet
-80.0%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.07
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Unibet
+25.0%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Above Estimate1.78
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+9.8%
Above Est.
No
Below Estimate2.30
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-19.6%
Below Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Norway +0
No Difference1.66
Estimate
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
England +0
No Difference2.54
Estimate
2.23
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Morten Thorsby
4.00—Jude Bellingham
4.33—Kristoffer Ajer
4.75—Leo Ostigard
4.75—Marcus Pedersen
4.75—Sondre Langas
4.75—David Wolfe
4.75—Dan Burn
5.00—Elliot Anderson
5.00—Reece James
5.00—Djed Spence
5.00—John Stones
5.50—Ivan Toney
5.50—Declan Rice
5.50—Ezri Konsa
5.50—Sander Berge
5.50—Fredrik Aursnes
5.50—Fredrik Andre Bjorkan
5.50—Trevoh Chalobah
5.50—Anthony Gordon
5.50—Kristian Thorstvedt
5.50—Alexander Sorloth
6.00—Patrick Berg
6.00—Julian Ryerson
6.00—Jens Hauge
6.00—Marc Guehi
6.50—Morgan Rogers
6.50—Kobbie Mainoo
6.50—Andreas Schjelderup
6.50—Nico O'Reilly
6.50—Booked
6.5015%Martin Odegaard
7.00—Torbjorn Heggem
7.00—Jorgen Larsen
7.00—Bukayo Saka
7.50—Henrik Falchener
8.00—Thelonious Aasgaard
8.00—Erling Haaland
9.00—Oscar Bobb
9.00—Antonio Nusa
9.00—Jordan Pickford
9.50—Ollie Watkins
9.50—Dean Henderson
9.50—Orjan Nyland
9.50—Egil Selvik
9.50—Sander Tangvik
9.50—James Trafford
9.50—Harry Kane
12.00—Marcus Rashford
12.00—Eberechi Eze
12.00—Noni Madueke
12.00—Source: bet365 · 51 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Morten Thorsby
11.00—Jude Bellingham
11.00—Kristoffer Ajer
12.00—Leo Ostigard
12.00—Marcus Pedersen
12.00—Sondre Langas
12.00—David Wolfe
12.00—Dan Burn
13.00—Elliot Anderson
13.00—Reece James
13.00—Djed Spence
13.00—John Stones
15.00—Ivan Toney
15.00—Declan Rice
15.00—Ezri Konsa
15.00—Sander Berge
15.00—Fredrik Aursnes
15.00—Fredrik Andre Bjorkan
15.00—Trevoh Chalobah
15.00—Anthony Gordon
15.00—Kristian Thorstvedt
15.00—Alexander Sorloth
17.00—Patrick Berg
17.00—Julian Ryerson
17.00—Marc Guehi
17.00—Morgan Rogers
17.00—Kobbie Mainoo
17.00—Nico O'Reilly
17.00—Jens Hauge
17.00—1st Card
17.006%Andreas Schjelderup
19.00—Martin Odegaard
21.00—Torbjorn Heggem
21.00—Bukayo Saka
21.00—Henrik Falchener
21.00—Thelonious Aasgaard
21.00—Jorgen Larsen
21.00—Erling Haaland
23.00—Oscar Bobb
23.00—Antonio Nusa
23.00—Jordan Pickford
26.00—Ollie Watkins
26.00—Dean Henderson
26.00—Orjan Nyland
26.00—Egil Selvik
26.00—Sander Tangvik
26.00—James Trafford
26.00—Harry Kane
34.00—Marcus Rashford
34.00—Eberechi Eze
34.00—Noni Madueke
34.00—Source: bet365 · 51 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Norway 1 / England 0
State
FULL-TIME
117'Yellow cardNorway
Kristoffer Ajer
Argument
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
NorwayEngland
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q38%Team cards Over 1.5Q13%
Q0%Team cards Over 2.5Q0%
Q13%Match cards Over 3.5Q13%
Q50%Both teams cardedQ63%
Overall
Norway
38%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
England
13%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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