QF · Match 99FIFA World Cup 2026
Norway
Manager: Ståle Solbakken
FT1 – 2
England
Manager: Thomas Tuchel
36' A. Schjelderup
45+2' J. Bellingham93' J. Bellingham
Miami Stadium · Saturday, 11 July 2026 · 22:00 · FT · England won after extra-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.00vs book · Bet3651.61STATS DIFF -59.7%
Norway
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
England
0% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.26
Pinnacle
1.17
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.95
Pinnacle
4.20
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.14vs book · Pinnacle1.26STATS DIFF +10.3%
Norway
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
England
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.23
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.60vs book · Pinnacle1.71STATS DIFF +6.9%
Norway
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
9/10
England
38% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.77
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.00vs book · Pinnacle2.77STATS DIFF +38.5%
Norway
75% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
England
25% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 34, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Norway
10 games · 0 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
England
10 games · 1 goalless
34'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Norway to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
3.01
Pinnacle
3.00
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d agoPinnacleas of 11 Jul 09:31older price · 118d ago
Market
England to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.14
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
5.55
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 11 Jul 21:15older price · 118d ago
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