Group · Match 54FIFA World Cup 2026
South Africa
Manager: Hugo Broos
FT1 – 0
Korea Republic
Manager: Myung-Bo Hong
63' T. Maseko
Monterrey Stadium · Thursday, 25 June 2026 · 02:00 · FT · South Africa won after full-time.
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
2.1048%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5365%1
2.3742%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
Poisson on the combined campaign baseline · Sanstari estimate per band
Model state
OVER 14 RANGE
Most likely band is Over 14 corners. Range chips show price vs our estimate.
6.4
South Africa · for
qualifying, per game
13.3
Total corners · projected
6.9
Korea Republic · for
qualifying, per game
Range market · price vs our estimate · tap to dutch
Tap two adjacent ranges to combine them into one dutched price.
Market
Asian Total Corners 9.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 9.5
No Difference1.18
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Under 9.5
No Difference6.80
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Market prices returning shortly
Market
Asian Handicap Corners
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
South Africa -0.5
Below Estimate2.42
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-15.3%
Below Est.
Korea Republic +0.5
Above Estimate1.71
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+8.4%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 24 Jun 09:31older price · 136d agoPinnacleas of 24 Jun 09:31older price · 136d ago
Match odds
Corner Handicap
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
1
2.1048%2
2.2045%Tie
7.5013%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
Corners Race
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
2
1.5365%1
2.3742%Neither
26.004%Source: bet365 · 3 outcomes · informational only
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
South AfricaKorea Republic
Corners for / g
Corners against / g
Match corners / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q80%Team corners O3.5Q63%
Q70%Team corners O4.5Q44%
Q30%Match corners O8.5Q44%
Q30%Match corners O9.5Q44%
Q30%Match corners O10.5Q38%
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per game · qualifying campaign
Net difference
+4.6 · KOREA REPUBLIC
South Africa
+4.3
net per game
Korea Republic
+4.6
net per game
Group AView group
| Team | PL | W | D | L | +/− | GD | PTS | Next | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-0 | +6 | 9 | — |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | -1 | 4 | — |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | -1 | 3 | — |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | -4 | 1 | — |
Other Group A matches5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.