Final · Match 104FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT1 – 0
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
106' F. Torres
New York New Jersey Stadium · Sunday, 19 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after extra-time.
Officiating
Referee profile
Sample
NO REFEREE
S. Vinčić
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
Below Estimate1.74
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
-21.3%
Below Est.
Under 2.5
Above Estimate2.38
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.95
Unibet
+28.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Unibetas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
Below Estimate2.84
Estimate
2.16
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-31.2%
Below Est.
Under 3.5
Above Estimate1.55
Estimate
1.71
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+19.2%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Market
Total Cards Over/Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 4.5
Below Estimate5.50
Estimate
2.59
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-60.4%
Below Est.
Under 4.5
Above Estimate1.23
Estimate
1.49
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+38.3%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Market
Both Teams To Receive a Card
Pre-game
Market State
ABOVE ESTIMATE
The bookmaker price is above our estimate
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
Below Estimate2.26
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-36.4%
Below Est.
No
Above Estimate1.81
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
+57.1%
Above Est.
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Market
Asian Handicap Cards +0
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Spain +0
No Difference3.20
Estimate
2.26
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
Argentina +0
No Difference1.46
Estimate
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Pinnacleas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Match odds
Player to be Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Nicolas Tagliafico
2.75—Leandro Paredes
3.25—Facundo Medina
3.25—Nicolas Otamendi
3.50—Cristian Romero
3.50—Enzo Fernandez
3.50—Gavi
4.00—Gonzalo Montiel
4.33—Alex Baena
4.33—Booked
4.3323%Rodri
4.33—Nicolas Gonzalez
4.33—Giovani Lo Celso
4.75—Rodrigo De Paul
4.75—Alexis Mac Allister
4.75—Lisandro Martinez
4.75—Unai Simon
5.00—Martin Zubimendi
5.00—Yeremy Pino
5.00—Mikel Merino
5.50—Lautaro Martinez
5.50—Marc Cucurella
5.50—Giuliano Simeone
5.50—Jose Flaco Lopez
5.50—Marcos Senesi
6.00—Pedro Porro
6.00—Nico Williams
6.00—Lamine Yamal
6.00—Alex Grimaldo
6.00—Pedri
6.00—Nicolas Paz
6.50—Aymeric Laporte
7.00—Fabian Ruiz
7.00—Marcos Llorente
7.00—Exequiel Palacios
7.00—Marc Pubill
7.00—Valentin Barco
7.00—Pau Cubarsi
7.00—Borja Iglesias
7.50—Ferran Torres
7.50—Nahuel Molina
7.50—Eric Garcia
7.50—Thiago Almada
7.50—Victor Munoz
7.50—Lionel Messi
8.00—Emiliano Martinez
8.00—Dani Olmo
8.50—Mikel Oyarzabal
8.50—Julian Alvarez
8.50—Geronimo Rulli
10.00—Juan Musso
12.00—David Raya
13.00—Joan Garcia
13.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match odds
1st Player Booked
Latest price · implied probability
Source
BET365
OutcomePriceImplied
Nicolas Tagliafico
8.50—Leandro Paredes
10.00—Facundo Medina
10.00—Nicolas Otamendi
11.00—Cristian Romero
11.00—Enzo Fernandez
11.00—Gavi
13.00—Gonzalo Montiel
15.00—Alex Baena
15.00—Rodri
15.00—Nicolas Gonzalez
15.00—1st Card
15.007%Giovani Lo Celso
17.00—Rodrigo De Paul
17.00—Unai Simon
17.00—Alexis Mac Allister
17.00—Lautaro Martinez
17.00—Martin Zubimendi
17.00—Lisandro Martinez
17.00—Yeremy Pino
17.00—Giuliano Simeone
17.00—Jose Flaco Lopez
17.00—Mikel Merino
19.00—Marcos Senesi
19.00—Marc Cucurella
19.00—Pedro Porro
21.00—Nico Williams
21.00—Lamine Yamal
21.00—Nicolas Paz
21.00—Pedri
21.00—Alex Grimaldo
21.00—Aymeric Laporte
23.00—Fabian Ruiz
23.00—Marcos Llorente
23.00—Borja Iglesias
23.00—Exequiel Palacios
23.00—Ferran Torres
23.00—Eric Garcia
23.00—Marc Pubill
23.00—Valentin Barco
23.00—Victor Munoz
23.00—Pau Cubarsi
23.00—Dani Olmo
26.00—Lionel Messi
26.00—Mikel Oyarzabal
26.00—Nahuel Molina
26.00—Emiliano Martinez
26.00—Thiago Almada
26.00—Julian Alvarez
29.00—Geronimo Rulli
34.00—David Raya
41.00—Juan Musso
41.00—Joan Garcia
41.00—Source: bet365 · 53 outcomes · informational only
Match events
Cards in this match
Total cards · Spain 0 / Argentina 7
State
FULL-TIME
41'Yellow cardArgentina
Lisandro Martínez
Foul
52'Yellow cardArgentina
Leandro Paredes
Argument
82'Yellow cardArgentina
Enzo Fernández
Argument
90+2'Yellow cardArgentina
Cristian Romero
Argument
90+3'Second yellowArgentina
Enzo Fernández
Foul
105'Yellow cardArgentina
Lionel Scaloni
Argument
111'Yellow cardArgentina
Alexis Mac Allister
Foul
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · qualifying campaign
Scope
OVERALL
SpainArgentina
Team cards / g
Match cards / g
Hit rates · qualifying campaign
Q0%Team cards Over 1.5Q44%
Q0%Team cards Over 2.5Q22%
Q17%Match cards Over 3.5Q61%
Q17%Both teams cardedQ72%
Overall
Spain
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
Over 3.5
17%
Match O3.5
Argentina
44%
Over 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
61%
Match O3.5
Upcoming matchesNext 6
No upcoming fixtures.