Final · Match 104FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT1 – 0
Argentina
Manager: Lionel Scaloni
106' F. Torres
New York New Jersey Stadium · Sunday, 19 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after extra-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds4.49vs book · Bet3651.80STATS DIFF -60.0%
Spain
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
2/10
Argentina
28% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.41
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.00
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.24vs book · Pinnacle1.41STATS DIFF +13.6%
Spain
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Argentina
61% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.34
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.64vs book · Pinnacle2.34STATS DIFF +43.0%
Spain
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Argentina
39% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.46
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds2.57vs book · Marathonbet3.46STATS DIFF +34.6%
Spain
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
4/10
Argentina
11% overall · qualifying campaign
18 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
3/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
16-30' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 29, landing most often in the 16-30 window.
Spain
10 games · 1 goalless
31'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Argentina
10 games · 0 goalless
27'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Spain to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
3.55
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d ago
Market
Argentina to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.50
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.63
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 19 Jul 19:45older price · 110d agoPinnacleas of 19 Jul 09:31older price · 111d ago
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