QF · Match 98FIFA World Cup 2026

Spain

Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo

FT2 – 1

Belgium

Manager: Rudi Garcia

30' F. Ruiz88' M. Merino

41' C. Ketelaere

Los Angeles Stadium · Friday, 10 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.

Sanstari Daily Market Bulletin

M. Oliver

No referee has been appointed for this fixture yet.

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

No active signal or price difference in this market

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 2.5

Below Estimate

1.93

Estimate

2.04

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

-2.7%

Below Est.

Under 2.5

Below Estimate

2.08

Estimate

1.79

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

-9.4%

Below Est.

ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.

bet365as of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 3.5

Below Estimate

3.40

Estimate

2.26

Pinnacle

2.20

Bet365

-33.3%

Below Est.

Under 3.5

Above Estimate

1.43

Estimate

1.52

Pinnacle

1.61

Bet365

+15.8%

Above Est.

bet365as of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago

Market

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Over 4.5

Below Estimate

7.00

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

3.10

Unibet

-54.4%

Below Est.

Under 4.5

Above Estimate

1.17

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.30

Unibet

+14.0%

Above Est.

Unibetas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago

Market

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Pre-game

Market State

ABOVE ESTIMATE

The bookmaker price is above our estimate

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Yes

Below Estimate

2.54

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.80

Bet365

-26.8%

Below Est.

Above Estimate

1.66

Estimate

—

Pinnacle

1.90

Bet365

+18.0%

Above Est.

bet365as of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago

Market

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Pre-game

Market State

NO SIGNAL

No active signal or price difference in this market

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Pinnacle

Soft

Difference

Spain +0

No Difference

2.22

Estimate

2.56

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Belgium +0

No Difference

1.83

Estimate

1.50

Pinnacle

—

Soft

—

No Diff

Pinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago

OutcomePriceImplied

Nicolas Raskin

3.40—

Mikel Merino

3.75—

Axel Witsel

3.75—

Alex Baena

3.75—

Pedro Porro

3.75—

Arthur Theate

3.75—

Koni De Winter

3.75—

Pau Cubarsi

3.75—

Gavi

3.75—

Rodri

4.00—

Thomas Meunier

4.33—

Aymeric Laporte

4.33—

Marc Cucurella

4.33—

Martin Zubimendi

4.33—

Alexis Saelemaekers

4.33—

Yeremy Pino

4.33—

Nathan Ngoy

4.33—

Diego Moreira

4.33—

Timothy Castagne

4.75—

Youri Tielemans

4.75—

Maxim De Cuyper

4.75—

Zeno Debast

4.75—

Matias Fernandez-Pardo

4.75—

Marcos Llorente

5.00—

Booked

5.0020%

Borja Iglesias

5.50—

Eric Garcia

5.50—

Hans Vanaken

6.00—

Dodi Lukebakio

6.00—

Joaquin Seys

6.00—

Lamine Yamal

6.00—

Pedri

6.00—

Alex Grimaldo

6.00—

Fabian Ruiz

6.50—

Nico Williams

6.50—

Marc Pubill

6.50—

Romelu Lukaku

7.00—

Thibaut Courtois

7.00—

Kevin De Bruyne

7.00—

Brandon Mechele

7.00—

Charles De Ketelaere

7.00—

Senne Lammens

7.00—

Jeremy Doku

7.00—

Mike Penders

7.00—

Victor Munoz

7.50—

Leandro Trossard

8.00—

Dani Olmo

8.00—

Mikel Oyarzabal

8.00—

Ferran Torres

8.00—

David Raya

13.00—

Unai Simon

13.00—

Joan Garcia

13.00—

Source: bet365 · 52 outcomes · informational only

OutcomePriceImplied

Nicolas Raskin

10.00—

Mikel Merino

12.00—

Axel Witsel

12.00—

Alex Baena

12.00—

Pedro Porro

12.00—

Arthur Theate

12.00—

Koni De Winter

12.00—

Pau Cubarsi

12.00—

Gavi

12.00—

Thomas Meunier

13.00—

Aymeric Laporte

13.00—

Marc Cucurella

13.00—

Martin Zubimendi

13.00—

Alexis Saelemaekers

13.00—

Yeremy Pino

13.00—

Nathan Ngoy

13.00—

Diego Moreira

13.00—

Rodri

13.00—

1st Card

13.008%

Timothy Castagne

15.00—

Youri Tielemans

15.00—

Marcos Llorente

15.00—

Maxim De Cuyper

15.00—

Zeno Debast

15.00—

Matias Fernandez-Pardo

15.00—

Borja Iglesias

17.00—

Eric Garcia

17.00—

Hans Vanaken

19.00—

Dodi Lukebakio

19.00—

Joaquin Seys

19.00—

Lamine Yamal

19.00—

Pedri

19.00—

Alex Grimaldo

19.00—

Fabian Ruiz

21.00—

Nico Williams

21.00—

Marc Pubill

21.00—

Romelu Lukaku

23.00—

Thibaut Courtois

23.00—

Kevin De Bruyne

23.00—

Brandon Mechele

23.00—

Charles De Ketelaere

23.00—

Senne Lammens

23.00—

Jeremy Doku

23.00—

Mike Penders

23.00—

Victor Munoz

23.00—

Leandro Trossard

26.00—

Dani Olmo

26.00—

Mikel Oyarzabal

26.00—

Ferran Torres

26.00—

David Raya

41.00—

Unai Simon

41.00—

Joan Garcia

41.00—

Source: bet365 · 52 outcomes · informational only

43'

Pau Cubarsí

Foul

Spain

85'

Kevin De Bruyne

Foul

Belgium

90+3'

Aymeric Laporte

Foul

Spain

90+5'

Axel Witsel

Foul

Belgium

SpainBelgium

1.0

Team cards / g

1.1

1.5

Match cards / g

4.0

Hit rates · qualifying campaign

Q0%

Team cards Over 1.5

Q25%

Q0%

Team cards Over 2.5

Q25%

Q17%

Match cards Over 3.5

Q50%

Q17%

Both teams carded

Q63%

Overall

Spain

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

17%

Match O3.5

Belgium

25%

Over 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

50%

Match O3.5

Upcoming matchesNext 6

No upcoming fixtures.

All GroupsA–L

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Player PropsStandout shot / SOT / card prices

Referee profile

Total Cards Over/Under 2.5

Total Cards Over/Under 3.5

Total Cards Over/Under 4.5

Both Teams To Receive a Card

Asian Handicap Cards +0

Player to be Booked

1st Player Booked

Cards in this match

Team card averages