QF · Match 98FIFA World Cup 2026
Spain
Manager: Luis De la Fuente Castillo
FT2 – 1
Belgium
Manager: Rudi Garcia
30' F. Ruiz88' M. Merino
41' C. Ketelaere
Los Angeles Stadium · Friday, 10 July 2026 · 20:00 · FT · Spain won after full-time.
Market
Both Teams To Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago
BTTS Yes · Evidence
Stats odds3.00vs book · Bet3651.80STATS DIFF -40.0%
Spain
17% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
1/10
Belgium
50% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 1.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.23
Pinnacle
1.19
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 1.5
No Difference—
Estimate
4.00
Pinnacle
3.96
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago
Over 1.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.07vs book · Pinnacle1.23STATS DIFF +15.3%
Spain
100% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
7/10
Belgium
88% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
8/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.80
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Diff
Under 2.5
No Difference—
Estimate
2.09
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
bet365as of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago
Over 2.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.37vs book · Pinnacle1.80STATS DIFF +31.2%
Spain
83% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Market
Goals Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Over 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
3.01
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
Under 3.5
No Difference—
Estimate
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago
Over 3.5 Goals · Evidence
Stats odds1.55vs book · Pinnacle3.01STATS DIFF +94.4%
Spain
67% overall · qualifying campaign
6 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
5/10
Belgium
63% overall · qualifying campaign
8 games
Hit rateMost recent →
Last 10
6/10
Goal timing
When does the first goal arrive?
First goal of the game per 15-min window · qualifying campaign
Fixture read
0-15' MOST LIKELY
Across both campaigns the opener averages minute 24, landing most often in the 0-15 window.
Spain
10 games · 1 goalless
29'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Belgium
10 games · 2 goalless
19'
Avg first goal
0-15
16-30
31-45+
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Scored first Conceded first
Market
Spain to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
1.11
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
—
Pinnacle
6.70
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d ago
Market
Belgium to Score
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or price difference in this market
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Pinnacle
Soft
Difference
Yes
No Difference—
Estimate
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
No
No Difference—
Estimate
2.43
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
—
No Diff
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Marathonbetas of 10 Jul 18:45older price · 119d agoPinnacleas of 10 Jul 09:30older price · 120d ago
Upcoming matchesNext 6
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